(a) "We like pessimism because of the price it produces. Optimism is the enemy of rational buyer."
- Approach stock prices as a long term buyer just like how you approach food price
- Appetite to buy (consume) exists even when prices are low
(b) Stock price as a currency for M&A in stock
- Intrinsic value versus market value
- Market value >> Intrinsic value shouldn't be the only driver for M&A
(c) Toad and princess analogue to M&A
- Cannot take cigarette butt approach to investing
- PE of target may be attractive but merged entity may see rerating of PE
(d) Pitfall of judging retained earnings and dividend policy of group company
- Aggregate result may be poor but core business might not be
(e) "Just because you paid 6* book value, doesn't change the RoCE of manager"
- Assess performance by their RoCE and not your price per share
- Best business returns typically come from company doing the similar thing today as they were doing 5-10 yrs ago
(f) Focus on economic characteristics of target company
- competitive strengths and weaknesses
- quality of people
- no need to visit facilities
(g) The tale of Gotrocks and Hadrocks (importance of direct investing):